Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004348 0.004577 0.004811 0.005070 0.005350 0.005642 0.005971
2025-09-21 0.003954 0.004290 0.004651 0.005069 0.005541 0.006060 0.006677
2025-09-28 0.003606 0.003988 0.004409 0.004911 0.005496 0.006161 0.006981
2025-10-05 0.003440 0.003866 0.004346 0.004931 0.005633 0.006456 0.007504
2025-10-12 0.003329 0.003793 0.004326 0.004992 0.005810 0.006794 0.008089
2025-10-19 0.003185 0.003670 0.004238 0.004959 0.005862 0.006976 0.008479
2025-10-26 0.003064 0.003567 0.004163 0.004933 0.005917 0.007155 0.008870
2025-11-02 0.002951 0.003466 0.004085 0.004896 0.005951 0.007305 0.009223
2025-11-09 0.002906 0.003446 0.004104 0.004981 0.006142 0.007665 0.009880
2025-11-16 0.002810 0.003357 0.004031 0.004941 0.006164 0.007796 0.010222
2025-11-23 0.002735 0.003292 0.003986 0.004933 0.006226 0.007982 0.010648
2025-11-30 0.002639 0.003196 0.003895 0.004860 0.006194 0.008033 0.010878
2025-12-07 0.002551 0.003107 0.003813 0.004797 0.006174 0.008101 0.011140
2025-12-14 0.002492 0.003056 0.003777 0.004794 0.006238 0.008292 0.011601
2025-12-21 0.002381 0.002932 0.003640 0.004648 0.006090 0.008165 0.011552
2025-12-28 0.002340 0.002898 0.003624 0.004667 0.006180 0.008392 0.012081
2026-01-04 0.002315 0.002886 0.003635 0.004723 0.006325 0.008709 0.012777
2026-01-11 0.002260 0.002831 0.003586 0.004692 0.006338 0.008822 0.013139
2026-01-18 0.002210 0.002782 0.003543 0.004668 0.006361 0.008950 0.013533
2026-01-25 0.002160 0.002730 0.003495 0.004634 0.006366 0.009049 0.013879
2026-02-01 0.002149 0.002733 0.003523 0.004713 0.006546 0.009438 0.014772
2026-02-08 0.002102 0.002683 0.003474 0.004675 0.006544 0.009526 0.015121
2026-02-15 0.002066 0.002649 0.003447 0.004668 0.006588 0.009693 0.015626